NCAA Football Week 10, Games that will/won’t suck

A little delayed this week due to me being on vacation, but let’s review how I did last week:

Suck:

Oklahoma 62, Kansas 7. Definitely suck.

Ole Miss 27, Auburn 19. Not suck.

Memphis 41, Tulane 13. Definitely suck.

Not Suck:

Penn State 39, Illinois 0. Suck

Virginia Tech 26, Boston College 10. Suck too, ugh.

Oregon 61, Arizona State 55, after 3 OT. So much not suck we’ll look the other way on the first two sucking, right guys, right? 

So now for Week 10:

Suck

1) Louisiana Tech vs North Texas 

North Texas, despite a fluke win last week (they had a fumble returned for a TD and a blocked PAT returned for 2 points to tie the game late), still sucks.  And sucks is an understatement. I’ve talked about them enough. La Tech by 29 points in the points method, 92% chance of victory in the win method.

2) Oklahoma vs Iowa State

OU back in the suck game list for the second straight week, after getting a scheduling gift with back to back bye weeks against the Jayhawks and now the Cyclones. OU predicted by 23 in the points model, 82.5% chance of winning via the win method.

3) Michigan vs Rutgers

There have been surprisingly few Big Ten games that have made the suck list, but this one was circled on the schedule.  Rutgers only managed to beat Kansas by 13, then eked out an upset against IU to account for their two FBS wins this year. Michigan almost beat Michigan State, we all saw the kids crying highlights. Michigan by 22.5, 85% chance of victory.

Not suck

1) Texas State vs New Mexico State

You have to love it when you get the opportunity to watch a 2-5 Sun Belt team take on a 1-7 Sun Belt team. This game will certainly suck, but it will be a close kind of suck that makes you appreciate the fundamentals. Models say Texas State by 1.45, 72% chance of victory, but who the hell cares, you won’t be able to find this one on TV anyway.

2) Oklahoma State vs TCU

That last line sets up a Fox Sports One joke but I will let that through, as the Big XII gets itself its first “not suck” game in a while. TCU the slight favorites with the points model giving them .44 points, and the win model giving them a 52.2% chance of victory. By the way, I would probably take the over in this one. I can’t remember any time that TCU and Oklahoma State have played defense against, well, anyone.

3) Washington State vs Arizona State

Meanwhile, the Pac 12 seems to have an interesting game week in and week out, and this week is no exception. Early reports out of Pullman suggest that there will be some snow in the area, which may lead to the desert dwelling Sun Devils being a little out of their element, but the points model says this is one of the closest games of the year, with WSU edging out ASU by .06 points. The win model only gives the Cougars a .76% advantage over ASU as well. This seems like a good reason to stay up late tonight.

And of course, for the rest of us, here is the full week 10 predictions: