Chris Ford So week 7 is upon us, and with it come the first predictions from the computer models. For those unfamiliar, two separate models are run which create sometimes varying predictions. First, there is the “Win Model” which values when a team wins, not caring if they win by 15 or 50. It ranks the teams …
What we’ve learned from Week 2 of the AMSTS Computer Rankings: To see the rankings, click here. Well, it’s college football season once again and there’s no better feeling than cranking out the old computer rankings for the first time this season. As always, the first few weeks are incredibly wonky, as both the “wins” …
Read moreWeek 2: Why Computer Rankings Are Fun to Look at Before They’re Ready
And here it is, the official ELO-Chess Bracket using the computer rankings I’ve developed. As would be expected with any ELO-Chess system, very few upsets are predicted, though Missouri making the Final 4 as a 2 seed is noticeable as the one “upset” team that advances far. In fact, the bottom half of the West …
A dynamic Division 2 addition to the rankings has made some changes this week. Let’s investigate how it works: Previously, all Division 2 teams were given a ranking of -15, which means the average team has a 95% chance of defeating a Division 2 team. This was based off of the football 1-AA ranking that …
Read moreWeek of 1/25 Rankings – Introducing: Dynamic Division 2
The story of the poll continues to be Murray State. At 18-0 in an Elo Chess method poll, it’ll be hard for them to drop without a win. Of course, the question remains if they will lose a game. Meanwhile, Kansas saw a 6 spot bump after knocking off Baylor on Monday night. They crack …
Read moreWeek of 1/16 Rankings Review, and the story of Murray State
Fairfield took the largest dive of the week, dropping an astonishing 66 places after dropping to 8-8 with losses to Siena and Manhattan. The same story can be said for James Madison, after losing to 3-13 William & Mary. On the other hand, Central Connecticut vaulted up the rankings gaining 59 spots after the Blue …
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