Week 8 is upon us, and with it comes a much better slate of games than Week 7 (at least one can hope). And from what the models say, it looks to be like we’re in for some barn burners.
The first game not to miss this weekend, according to the Win Model of the AMSTS Computer Rankings, is Washington vs Arizona State. #22 Washington heads to Tempe to take on the #28 Sun Devils, with a slight favor to the Huskies, who are expected to win by 3 points and have a 53% chance of winning, according to each model. (6:00 PM EDT, Pac-12 Network)
The second big game, at least according to the Points Model, is going to be Indiana vs Michigan. The narrowest of all point margins of the week, IU is the slight favorite in the Big House, though the Win Model sees an easy Michigan win. Which model will prevail? We’ll just have to find out. (3:30 PM EST, Big Ten Network)
And finally, the biggest game of the week might just be Auburn vs Texas A&M. The #16 and #17 teams face one another with the models split on the outcome: the Win Model favors A&M while the Points Model says Auburn wins by 2.5. (3:30 PM EDT, CBS)
As for the entire week (including last night’s ULL-WKU Sun Belt tilt):
Date | Visitor | Home | Vegas line | Home team win chance | Home team MoV | Models agree? | Spread team pick | Difference over spread |
10/15/2013 | UL-Lafayette | Western Kentucky | 4.5 | 64.21% | 0.26 | Decisive | UL-Lafayette | -4.24 |
10/17/2013 | Miami-Florida | North Carolina | -8 | 9.73% | -20.00 | Decisive | Miami-Florida | -12.00 |
10/18/2013 | U-C-F | Louisville | 10.5 | 66.31% | 9.57 | Decisive | U-C-F | -0.93 |
10/19/2013 | Ball State | Western Michigan | -19 | 2.63% | -27.36 | Decisive | Ball State | -8.36 |
10/19/2013 | Rice | New Mexico State | -17.5 | 4.32% | -24.12 | Decisive | Rice | -6.62 |
10/19/2013 | Army | Temple | 2.5 | 9.75% | -5.34 | Decisive | Army | -7.84 |
10/19/2013 | Northern Illinois | Central Michigan | -16.5 | 12.04% | -14.52 | Decisive | Central Michigan | 1.98 |
10/19/2013 | Oregon State | California | -10 | 13.58% | -13.39 | Decisive | Oregon State | -3.39 |
10/19/2013 | Georgia | Vanderbilt | -9 | 14.16% | -9.27 | Decisive | Georgia | -0.27 |
10/19/2013 | Ohio | Eastern Michigan | -18.5 | 14.61% | -20.94 | Decisive | Ohio | -2.44 |
10/19/2013 | Oklahoma | Kansas | -24 | 14.98% | -16.31 | Decisive | Kansas | 7.69 |
10/19/2013 | North Texas | Louisiana Tech | -6.5 | 18.50% | -15.23 | Decisive | North Texas | -8.73 |
10/19/2013 | Texas Tech | West Virginia | -8 | 19.23% | -16.05 | Decisive | Texas Tech | -8.05 |
10/19/2013 | Louisiana State | Mississippi | -8 | 22.16% | -13.96 | Decisive | Louisiana State | -5.96 |
10/19/2013 | Akron | Miami-Ohio | -7 | 22.43% | -8.80 | Decisive | Akron | -1.80 |
10/19/2013 | Maryland | Wake Forest | -6 | 26.28% | -6.67 | Decisive | Maryland | -0.67 |
10/19/2013 | South Carolina | Tennessee | -7 | 26.29% | -3.96 | Decisive | Tennessee | 3.04 |
10/19/2013 | Utah | Arizona | 6 | 30.24% | -3.95 | Decisive | Utah | -9.95 |
10/19/2013 | Utah State | New Mexico | 32.76% | -15.13 | Decisive | Utah State | N/A | |
10/19/2013 | Duke | Virginia | 2.5 | 37.18% | -6.75 | Decisive | Duke | -9.25 |
10/19/2013 | U.C.L.A. | Stanford | 6.5 | 38.15% | -2.40 | Decisive | U.C.L.A. | -8.90 |
10/19/2013 | Wisconsin | Illinois | -10 | 39.35% | -11.07 | Decisive | Wisconsin | -1.07 |
10/19/2013 | Washington | Arizona State | 3 | 47.23% | -3.48 | Decisive | Washington | -6.48 |
10/19/2013 | Navy | Toledo | 6.5 | 47.88% | -2.29 | Decisive | Navy | -8.79 |
10/19/2013 | Auburn | Texas A+M | 14 | 50.67% | -2.50 | Toss up | Auburn | -16.50 |
10/19/2013 | Syracuse | Georgia Tech | 9 | 51.93% | 5.42 | Decisive | Syracuse | -3.58 |
10/19/2013 | Minnesota | Northwestern | 12.5 | 52.16% | 2.88 | Decisive | Minnesota | -9.62 |
10/19/2013 | Florida State | Clemson | -2.5 | 55.47% | -9.41 | Toss up | Florida State | -6.91 |
10/19/2013 | S-M-U | Memphis | 3 | 56.22% | 10.96 | Decisive | Memphis | 7.96 |
10/19/2013 | Southern Cal | Notre Dame | 2.5 | 56.31% | -4.64 | Toss up | Southern Cal | -7.14 |
10/19/2013 | Texas Christian | Oklahoma State | 7 | 60.09% | 5.91 | Decisive | Texas Christian | -1.09 |
10/19/2013 | Kent State | South Alabama | 6.5 | 60.55% | 5.75 | Decisive | Kent State | -0.75 |
10/19/2013 | Nevada-Reno | Boise State | 21.5 | 64.04% | 17.39 | Decisive | Nevada-Reno | -4.11 |
10/19/2013 | Brigham Young | Houston | -9 | 67.75% | -4.16 | Toss up | Houston | 4.84 |
10/19/2013 | Indiana | Michigan | 10.5 | 68.87% | -0.06 | Toss up | Indiana | -10.56 |
10/19/2013 | Colorado State | Wyoming | 6.5 | 75.60% | 9.52 | Decisive | Wyoming | 3.02 |
10/19/2013 | Florida | Missouri | -3 | 77.85% | 5.28 | Decisive | Missouri | 8.28 |
10/19/2013 | Iowa | Ohio State | 16 | 81.69% | 13.22 | Decisive | Iowa | -2.78 |
10/19/2013 | Nevada-Las Vegas | Fresno State | 22.5 | 81.84% | 13.53 | Decisive | Nevada-Las Vegas | -8.97 |
10/19/2013 | Washington State | Oregon | 37.5 | 82.74% | 28.11 | Decisive | Washington State | -9.39 |
10/19/2013 | Connecticut | Cincinnati | 14 | 88.01% | 13.96 | Decisive | Connecticut | -0.04 |
10/19/2013 | Purdue | Michigan State | 26 | 89.47% | 21.87 | Decisive | Purdue | -4.13 |
10/19/2013 | Massachusetts | Buffalo | 20 | 90.64% | 14.84 | Decisive | Massachusetts | -5.16 |
10/19/2013 | Southern Miss | East Carolina | 20.5 | 93.03% | 22.93 | Decisive | East Carolina | 2.43 |
10/19/2013 | Arkansas | Alabama | 28 | 93.41% | 23.73 | Decisive | Arkansas | -4.27 |
10/19/2013 | Iowa State | Baylor | 30.5 | 94.60% | 29.72 | Decisive | Iowa State | -0.78 |
10/19/2013 | Georgia State | Texas State | 17.5 | 96.41% | 18.52 | Decisive | Texas State | 1.02 |
10/19/2013 | Charleston Southern | Colorado | ||||||
10/19/2013 | Old Dominion | Pittsburgh |