Week 8 Predictions!

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by

Chris Ford

Week 8 is upon us, and with it comes a much better slate of games than Week 7 (at least one can hope).  And from what the models say, it looks to be like we’re in for some barn burners.

The first game not to miss this weekend, according to the Win Model of the AMSTS Computer Rankings, is Washington vs Arizona State.  #22 Washington heads to Tempe to take on the #28 Sun Devils, with a slight favor to the Huskies, who are expected to win by 3 points and have a 53% chance of winning, according to each model.  (6:00 PM EDT, Pac-12 Network)

The second big game, at least according to the Points Model, is going to be Indiana vs Michigan.  The narrowest of all point margins of the week, IU is the slight favorite in the Big House, though the Win Model sees an easy Michigan win.  Which model will prevail?  We’ll just have to find out. (3:30 PM EST, Big Ten Network)

And finally, the biggest game of the week might just be Auburn vs Texas A&M.  The #16 and #17 teams face one another with the models split on the outcome: the Win Model favors A&M while the Points Model says Auburn wins by 2.5.  (3:30 PM EDT, CBS)

As for the entire week (including last night’s ULL-WKU Sun Belt tilt):

DateVisitorHomeVegas lineHome team win chanceHome team MoVModels agree?Spread team pickDifference over spread
10/15/2013UL-LafayetteWestern Kentucky4.564.21%0.26DecisiveUL-Lafayette-4.24
10/17/2013Miami-FloridaNorth Carolina-89.73%-20.00DecisiveMiami-Florida-12.00
10/18/2013U-C-FLouisville10.566.31%9.57DecisiveU-C-F-0.93
10/19/2013Ball StateWestern Michigan-192.63%-27.36DecisiveBall State-8.36
10/19/2013RiceNew Mexico State-17.54.32%-24.12DecisiveRice-6.62
10/19/2013ArmyTemple2.59.75%-5.34DecisiveArmy-7.84
10/19/2013Northern IllinoisCentral Michigan-16.512.04%-14.52DecisiveCentral Michigan1.98
10/19/2013Oregon StateCalifornia-1013.58%-13.39DecisiveOregon State-3.39
10/19/2013GeorgiaVanderbilt-914.16%-9.27DecisiveGeorgia-0.27
10/19/2013OhioEastern Michigan-18.514.61%-20.94DecisiveOhio-2.44
10/19/2013OklahomaKansas-2414.98%-16.31DecisiveKansas7.69
10/19/2013North TexasLouisiana Tech-6.518.50%-15.23DecisiveNorth Texas-8.73
10/19/2013Texas TechWest Virginia-819.23%-16.05DecisiveTexas Tech-8.05
10/19/2013Louisiana StateMississippi-822.16%-13.96DecisiveLouisiana State-5.96
10/19/2013AkronMiami-Ohio-722.43%-8.80DecisiveAkron-1.80
10/19/2013MarylandWake Forest-626.28%-6.67DecisiveMaryland-0.67
10/19/2013South CarolinaTennessee-726.29%-3.96DecisiveTennessee3.04
10/19/2013UtahArizona630.24%-3.95DecisiveUtah-9.95
10/19/2013Utah StateNew Mexico32.76%-15.13DecisiveUtah StateN/A
10/19/2013DukeVirginia2.537.18%-6.75DecisiveDuke-9.25
10/19/2013U.C.L.A.Stanford6.538.15%-2.40DecisiveU.C.L.A.-8.90
10/19/2013WisconsinIllinois-1039.35%-11.07DecisiveWisconsin-1.07
10/19/2013WashingtonArizona State347.23%-3.48DecisiveWashington-6.48
10/19/2013NavyToledo6.547.88%-2.29DecisiveNavy-8.79
10/19/2013AuburnTexas A+M1450.67%-2.50Toss upAuburn-16.50
10/19/2013SyracuseGeorgia Tech951.93%5.42DecisiveSyracuse-3.58
10/19/2013MinnesotaNorthwestern12.552.16%2.88DecisiveMinnesota-9.62
10/19/2013Florida StateClemson-2.555.47%-9.41Toss upFlorida State-6.91
10/19/2013S-M-UMemphis356.22%10.96DecisiveMemphis7.96
10/19/2013Southern CalNotre Dame2.556.31%-4.64Toss upSouthern Cal-7.14
10/19/2013Texas ChristianOklahoma State760.09%5.91DecisiveTexas Christian-1.09
10/19/2013Kent StateSouth Alabama6.560.55%5.75DecisiveKent State-0.75
10/19/2013Nevada-RenoBoise State21.564.04%17.39DecisiveNevada-Reno-4.11
10/19/2013Brigham YoungHouston-967.75%-4.16Toss upHouston4.84
10/19/2013IndianaMichigan10.568.87%-0.06Toss upIndiana-10.56
10/19/2013Colorado StateWyoming6.575.60%9.52DecisiveWyoming3.02
10/19/2013FloridaMissouri-377.85%5.28DecisiveMissouri8.28
10/19/2013IowaOhio State1681.69%13.22DecisiveIowa-2.78
10/19/2013Nevada-Las VegasFresno State22.581.84%13.53DecisiveNevada-Las Vegas-8.97
10/19/2013Washington StateOregon37.582.74%28.11DecisiveWashington State-9.39
10/19/2013ConnecticutCincinnati1488.01%13.96DecisiveConnecticut-0.04
10/19/2013PurdueMichigan State2689.47%21.87DecisivePurdue-4.13
10/19/2013MassachusettsBuffalo2090.64%14.84DecisiveMassachusetts-5.16
10/19/2013Southern MissEast Carolina20.593.03%22.93DecisiveEast Carolina2.43
10/19/2013ArkansasAlabama2893.41%23.73DecisiveArkansas-4.27
10/19/2013Iowa StateBaylor30.594.60%29.72DecisiveIowa State-0.78
10/19/2013Georgia StateTexas State17.596.41%18.52DecisiveTexas State1.02
10/19/2013Charleston SouthernColorado
10/19/2013Old DominionPittsburgh