With two of the first four games complete, here are the official (wins method) predictions for favorites in the NCAA tournament. Unsurprisingly, we see an undefeated Wichita State at number one, a choice which the points method finds foolish (Wichita State being ranked 19th in the points ranking system).
Beyond that, there are few surprises, though things aren’t looking particularly good for Albany, even after a big win tonight.
Here’s the full list:
| Region | Seed | Team | Round 1 | Round 2 | Sweet 16 | Elite 8 | Final 4 | Final 2 | Champ | |||||
| 1 | Midwest | 1 | Wichita St. | 100% | 99.0% | 88.4% | 75.3% | 63.8% | 49.5% | 36.1% | 3 | to | 1 | |
| 2 | South | 1 | Florida | 100% | 98.6% | 82.6% | 67.8% | 51.2% | 38.2% | 21.3% | 5 | to | 1 | |
| 3 | West | 1 | Arizona | 100% | 96.5% | 75.8% | 52.5% | 36.8% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 11 | to | 1 | |
| 4 | East | 2 | Villanova | 100% | 93.5% | 65.2% | 42.3% | 26.5% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 20 | to | 1 | |
| 5 | South | 3 | Syracuse | 100% | 84.7% | 59.2% | 34.3% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 36 | to | 1 | |
| 6 | East | 1 | Virginia | 100% | 94.8% | 63.8% | 37.1% | 19.2% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 38 | to | 1 | |
| 7 | West | 2 | Wisconsin | 100% | 93.5% | 64.5% | 38.7% | 17.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 41 | to | 1 | |
| 8 | West | 4 | San Diego St. | 100% | 86.4% | 58.8% | 26.3% | 15.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 43 | to | 1 | |
| 9 | South | 2 | Kansas | 100% | 89.6% | 57.1% | 32.4% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 43 | to | 1 | |
| 10 | East | 3 | Iowa St. | 100% | 84.7% | 56.9% | 28.3% | 15.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 48 | to | 1 | |
| 11 | Midwest | 2 | Michigan | 100% | 94.3% | 59.7% | 35.3% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 58 | to | 1 | |
| 12 | West | 3 | Creighton | 100% | 87.8% | 55.9% | 29.6% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 70 | to | 1 | |
| 13 | Midwest | 4 | Louisville | 100% | 81.9% | 52.3% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 78 | to | 1 | |
| 14 | Midwest | 3 | Duke | 100% | 83.1% | 54.2% | 29.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 79 | to | 1 | |
| 15 | East | 4 | Michigan St. | 100% | 83.5% | 46.5% | 23.9% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 84 | to | 1 | |
| 16 | East | 5 | Cincinnati | 100% | 69.6% | 38.8% | 20.1% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 98 | to | 1 | |
| 17 | South | 4 | UCLA | 100% | 81.2% | 47.8% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 129 | to | 1 | |
| 18 | South | 7 | New Mexico | 100% | 63.8% | 29.0% | 13.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 187 | to | 1 | |
| 19 | East | 7 | Connecticut | 100% | 61.8% | 23.2% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 216 | to | 1 | |
| 20 | West | 5 | Oklahoma | 100% | 70.1% | 30.0% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 268 | to | 1 | |
| 21 | West | 6 | Baylor | 100% | 63.4% | 29.2% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 313 | to | 1 | |
| 22 | Midwest | 5 | Saint Louis | 100% | 64.3% | 30.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 324 | to | 1 | |
| 23 | Midwest | 7 | Texas | 100% | 59.6% | 25.8% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 329 | to | 1 | |
| 24 | South | 6 | Ohio St. | 100% | 62.3% | 24.9% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 372 | to | 1 | |
| 25 | West | 7 | Oregon | 100% | 62.7% | 24.2% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 435 | to | 1 | |
| 26 | East | 6 | North Carolina | 100% | 56.7% | 23.5% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 465 | to | 1 | |
| 27 | Midwest | 6 | UMass | 100% | 59.5% | 26.5% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 500 | to | 1 | |
| 28 | South | 5 | Va. Commonwealth | 100% | 53.1% | 26.0% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 501 | to | 1 | |
| 29 | South | 9 | Pittsburgh | 100% | 53.2% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 580 | to | 1 | |
| 30 | East | 9 | George Washington | 100% | 52.0% | 19.0% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 609 | to | 1 | |
| 31 | Midwest | 8 | Kentucky | 100% | 58.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 652 | to | 1 | |
| 32 | West | 8 | Gonzaga | 100% | 53.6% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 672 | to | 1 | |
| 33 | South | 12a | Stephen F. Austin | 100% | 46.9% | 21.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 840 | to | 1 | |
| 34 | East | 8 | Memphis | 100% | 48.0% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 856 | to | 1 | |
| 35 | South | 8 | Colorado | 100% | 46.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 992 | to | 1 | |
| 36 | West | 9 | Oklahoma St. | 100% | 46.4% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1,244 | to | 1 | |
| 37 | East | 11a | Providence | 100% | 43.3% | 15.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1,441 | to | 1 | |
| 38 | East | 10a | St. Joseph’s | 100% | 38.2% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1,550 | to | 1 | |
| 39 | Midwest | 10a | Arizona St. | 100% | 40.4% | 14.0% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1,649 | to | 1 | |
| 40 | South | 10a | Stanford | 100% | 36.2% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1,875 | to | 1 | |
| 41 | East | 12a | Harvard | 100% | 30.4% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 2,731 | to | 1 | |
| 42 | Midwest | 9 | Kansas St. | 100% | 41.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2,927 | to | 1 | |
| 43 | South | 11a | Dayton | 100% | 37.7% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3,164 | to | 1 | |
| 44 | West | 11a | Nebraska | 100% | 36.6% | 12.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 3,182 | to | 1 | |
| 45 | West | 10a | BYU | 100% | 37.3% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 4,125 | to | 1 | |
| 46 | Midwest | 11a | Iowa | 50.9% | 20.8% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 4,738 | to | 1 | |
| 47 | Midwest | 12b | Xavier | 54.5% | 20.5% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 5,173 | to | 1 | |
| 48 | Midwest | 11b | Tennessee | 49.1% | 19.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 5,719 | |||
| 49 | West | 12a | North Dakota St. | 100% | 29.9% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 10,715 | to | 1 | |
| 50 | Midwest | 12a | N.C. State | 45.5% | 15.2% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13,051 | to | 1 | |
| 51 | South | 14a | Western Michigan | 100% | 15.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 39,985 | to | 1 | |
| 52 | Midwest | 13a | Manhattan | 100% | 18.1% | 5.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 48,011 | to | 1 | |
| 53 | East | 14a | N.C. Central | 100% | 15.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 68,680 | to | 1 | |
| 54 | Midwest | 14a | Mercer | 100% | 16.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 78,374 | to | 1 | |
| 55 | South | 13a | Tulsa | 100% | 18.8% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 89,064 | to | 1 | |
| 56 | West | 13a | New Mexico St. | 100% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 103,577 | to | 1 | |
| 57 | East | 13a | Delaware | 100% | 16.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 106,342 | to | 1 | |
| 58 | West | 14a | Louisiana | 100% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 470,215 | to | 1 | |
| 59 | South | 15a | Eastern Kentucky | 100% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 550,797 | to | 1 | |
| 60 | East | 15a | Wis.-Milwaukee | 100% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2,099,097 | to | 1 | |
| 61 | West | 15a | American | 100% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7,741,791 | to | 1 | |
| 62 | West | 16a | Weber St. | 100.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16,115,824 | to | 1 | |
| 63 | East | 16a | Coastal Carolina | 100.0% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29,686,553 | to | 1 | |
| 64 | Midwest | 15a | Wofford | 100% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32,041,970 | to | 1 | |
| 65 | Midwest | 16a | Cal Poly-SLO | 45.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 431,395,703 | to | 1 | |
| 66 | South | 16b | Mount St. Mary’s, Md. | 47.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 513,739,779 | to | 1 | |
| 67 | South | 16a | Albany | 53.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 909,758,778 | to | 1 | |
| 68 | Midwest | 16b | Texas Southern | 54.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 957,526,727 | to | 1 |