Betting against my alma mater: Week 6 (I should sell this system)

After me questioning my experiment last week, Minnesota came in to Ross Ade as 3.5 point favorites (the line was actually somewhere in the 3.25 point range, since it paid back at -105 instead of the normal -110).

I thought perhaps the tides had turned when Purdue took the first drive to the house (and then in typical Purdue style promptly BONKed the PAT.  At the half, Minnesota led 10-6, a cover, but a very very weak one.  Then, out of nowhere, Minnesota RB Shannon Brooks went beast mode on the Boiler D for a 71 yard TD run and I felt comfortable going to bed in Germany, knowing full well that this wouldn’t end well.

Lo and behold I was right.  Minnesota scored 28 in the third, and ended up winning 41-13.

I’m winning, but I don’t feel good about it. Purdue football has made me 23 Euro this year.  With 6 games remaining, I can go 2-4 ATS and still end up about neutral.  I suspect the line next week for Wisconsin will sway quite a bit in the Badgers’ favor after an embarrassing loss.

Here are the full results