As I mentioned in an earlier post, this year I will be (ok, I will probably forget at some point) betting against Purdue every week of the season. For now I’m giving them the line, but I reserve the right to change that once I start hemorrhaging money at my discretion.
Anyway, I was painfully successful in week 1 after a late pick six gave the backdoor cover to Marshall, despite Purdue playing for 50 minutes of the game like they were going to not only cover, but win.
Week two, luckily, was off the board due to Indiana State being FCS. Purdue won by 24, so that’s good news for all involved.
That brings us to week 3, where Virginia Tech comes to West Lafayette as 6.5 point favorites, after opening as only 3 point favorites.
I’ll be honest. I had trouble betting this one. I thought that this team might surprise some people, even though I overall remain skeptical. This just felt like a traditional Purdue win out of nowhere that would suck you in to believe that this team is good.
And in the first half, I was worried. Purdue, despite being outmatched, went into the half only down 7.
Then the third quarter happened. VT came out of the locker room and had their way with Purdue, marching down the field, stopping the offense almost completely, and blocking a punt. Offense, Defense, Special Teams. Completely outmatched.
So far, this “betting system” (complete lack of faith in Purdue, I guess) seems to be working well. Too well. At least it can fund the alcohol problem I’m going to develop over the season.
Week | Opponent | Line | Final difference | Result | Net result |
1 | Marshall | -7.5 | Marshall -10 | Win (+8.13) | +8.13 |
2 | Indiana State | Off the board | Purdue -24 | N/A | +8.13 |
3 | Virginia Tech | -6.5 | Virginia Tech -17 | Win (+8.13) | +16.26 |