How Long Is The Road to the Final Four For All 68 Teams?

We’ve heard it before: The Road to the Final Four is long and painful.  But exactly how long is it?  For some of the teams, it seems like they always get opening round games right down the road1.  For the rest of us, it seems like our team has to cross nine time zones to even get to the Sweet 16. Well, I did the work so you didn’t have to. Using some base assumptions, I plugged in the numbers to see who, exactly, has the longest way still to go.  The answer will surprise you.

 

Assumptions:

  1. During the NCAA tournament, the NCAA itself charters aircraft to bring teams to games. I assume that they generally use the closest reasonable airport. In major metro areas I tend to use the “major” airport, but I realize that Temple may fly out of Northeast Philadelphia instead of Philadelphia International Airport, the numbers do not materially change.  I promise, I tested.  When I did this for the upcoming Major League Baseball season, people got really mad about this. I re-ran the numbers and they changed by less than .01%, so settle down.
  2. I assume that teams don’t go home after winning, they just move on to the next site.  I’m sure this is a function of distance, where Hawaii certainly will stay on the mainland for as long as they’re still in it, but where does one draw the “return-home” threshold? I don’t know. So to treat everyone fairly, I will just assume they just keep moving.
  3. Since this is mileage TO the Final Four, I don’t consider a trip home. That would be some different article that’s less interesting.

 

Okay, enough assumptions!

Results:

In total, all 68 teams would travel 195,734 miles should they all decide to meet in Houston and watch each other, and it would look like this:

2016-NCAA-Tournament-Road-To-Final-Four

Unfortunately for 64, that’s not how it will work. Here are some individual statistics:

Longest overall journey to the Final Four: Baylor, who has to go 5,504 miles, from Waco to Providence, then across the country to Anaheim, and then back to only 200 miles from home: Houston. That’s 110 miles farther than Hawaii would have to travel.  Think about that for a minute. Here’s the map:

2016-NCAA-Tournament-Baylor-Road-To-Final-Four

Shortest overall journey to the Final Four: Kansas, who has only 1,461 miles to travel. From Lawrence to Des Moines, Louisville, and then Houston. That’s a mere 26.5% of the travel that fellow Big 12 member Baylor will have, should they meet up in Houston.  This journey looks a lot less challenging:

2016-NCAA-Tournament-Kansas-Road-To-Final-Four

Longest journey to the Final Four for a 1 seed: Oregon, who at 2,674 miles, will travel almost a thousand miles farther than the next closest 1 seed (UVA).

Shortest journey to the Final Four for a 16 seed: Hampton, 1,725 miles. Don’t worry, it won’t happen.

Average journey by region: West (3,835), South (2,705), East (2,637), Midwest (2,317).

Seed with shortest average journey: One seed, with an average of 1,881 miles.  Seems fair.

Seed with longest average journey: 13. Thanks, Hawaii!

 

Here’s the raw data so you can see how your team stacks up…

Full results by team:

RegionSeedTeamHome airport1st Four64/3216/8Final FourTotal travel
West5BaylorACTPVDSNAIAH5504
South13HawaiiHNLGEGSDFIAH5394
West16Southern Univ.BTRDAYGEGSNAIAH4798
West16Holy CrossORHDAYGEGSNAIAH4708
South5MarylandDCAGEGSDFIAH4618
West13UNCWILMPVDSNAIAH4542
West4DukeRDUPVDSNAIAH4484
West8Saint Joseph’sPHLGEGSNAIAH4463
West9CincinnatiCVGGEGSNAIAH4052
West12YaleHVNPVDSNAIAH4001
West7Oregon St.CVOOKCSNAIAH4000
East8USCLAXRDUPHLIAH3900
South6ArizonaTUSPVDSDFIAH3849
West15CSU BakersfieldBFLOKCSNAIAH3715
West10VCURICOKCSNAIAH3643
South12South Dakota St.BKXGEGSDFIAH3534
Midwest13IonaHPNDENORDIAH3438
Midwest6Selton HallEWRDENORDIAH3418
East13Stony BrookISPDSMPHLIAH3368
West14Green BayGRBOKCSNAIAH3309
East15Weber StateOGDSTLPHLIAH3296
South4CaliforniaOAKGEGSDFIAH3237
West11UNIALOOKCSNAIAH3074
East16FGCURSWDAYRDUPHLIAH3000
South11Wichita StateICTDAYPVDSDFIAH2996
East12ChattanoogaCHADSMPHLIAH2938
Midwest8Texas TechLBBRDUORDIAH2887
West6TexasAUSOKCSNAIAH2865
West3Texas A&MCLLOKCSNAIAH2845
East4KentuckyLEXDSMPHLIAH2835
South3MiamiMIAPVDSDFIAH2794
Midwest5PurdueLAFDENORDIAH2751
East14Steph. F. AustinOCHJFKPHLIAH2741
East5IndianaBMGDSMPHLIAH2704
East10PittsburghPITSTLPHLIAH2692
West1OregonEUGGEGSNAIAH2674
East11TulsaTULDAYJFKPHLIAH2657
Midwest14Fresno StateFATDENORDIAH2657
Midwest11GonzagaGEGDENORDIAH2649
East16Fairleigh-DickinsonEWRDAYRDUPHLIAH2601
Midwest12Little RockLITDENORDIAH2584
South11VanderbiltBNADAYPVDSDFIAH2560
West2OklahomaOUNOKCSNAIAH2519
South7IowaCIDJFKSDFIAH2385
East7WisconsinMSNSTLPHLIAH2446
East2XavierCVGSTLPHLIAH2446
Midwest4Iowa StateAMWDENORDIAH2409
South9ConnecticutBDLDSMSDFIAH2351
East9ProvidencePVDRDUPHLIAH2227
Midwest3UtahSLCDENORDIAH2204
East11MichiganARBDAYJFKPHLIAH2134
East6Notre DameSBNJFKPHLIAH2076
Midwest9ButlerINDRDUORDIAH2060
South15UNC-AshevilleAVLJFKSDFIAH2047
Midwest10SyracuseSYRSTLORDIAH1986
South14BuffaloBUFPVDSDFIAH1968
South8ColoradoDENDSMSDFIAH1858
East3West VirginiaMGWJFKPHLIAH1750
South16Austin PeayCKVDSMSDFIAH1745
Midwest1VirginiaCHORDUORDIAH1728
Midwest16HamptonPHFRDUORDIAH1725
East1North CarolinaRDURDUPHLIAH1661
Midwest2Michigan StateLANSTLORDIAH1594
South10TemplePHLJFKSDFIAH1543
South2VillanovaPHLJFKSDFIAH1543
Midwest7DaytonDAYSTLORDIAH1522
Midwest15MTSUMQYSTLORDIAH1467
South1KansasLWCDSMSDFIAH1461
  1. Duke or UNC, take your pick

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2 responses to “How Long Is The Road to the Final Four For All 68 Teams?”

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