NCAA College Basketball Machine Learning Bracketology

First time here? Click here to understand the methodology used by the AMSTS Machine Learning Bracketology.

During the season (from December onwards), view the live rankings, which update every 15 minutes while a game is going on, by clicking here

Historic rankings are available here.

Please note: this bracket projection is completely created by a computer, and sometimes it does computer things! Recreating the nuance that a selection committee has is not an easy task, and you may find it walking away from where the human bracketologists are coalescing. Like most algorithms, it should get better as the season progresses, so if you don’t like how it looks in December, be patient!

NCAA Machine Learning Bracketology as of (2026-01-06 03:50:18):
SeedTeamPodPodTeamSeed
Chicago
1Michigan
Buffalo
San Diego
Arizona1
San Jose
16Long IslandHoward/Grambling16
8VirginiaUSC8
9ClemsonOklahoma State9
5SMU
Oklahoma City
Tampa
Georgia5
12McNeeseMurray State12
4HoustonIllinois4
13Utah ValleyLiberty13
6Arkansas
Greenville
Philadelphia
Saint Louis6
11Virginia Commonwealth/Boise StateNevada/Auburn11
3AlabamaMichigan State3
14OaklandQuinnipiac14
7Louisville
Philadelphia
Portland
Utah State7
10New MexicoCalifornia10
2ConnecticutGonzaga2
15FurmanTennessee-Martin15
Houston
1Iowa State
St. Louis
St. Louis
Vanderbilt1
Washington DC
16Northern ColoradoVermont/American16
8TCULSU8
9Miami (OH)Miami9
5Texas Tech
San Diego
Tampa
North Carolina5
12YaleGeorge Mason12
4Central FloridaVillanova4
13UC-San DiegoUNC-Wilmington13
6Saint Mary’s
Portland
Greenville
Iowa6
11StanfordTulsa11
3BYUDuke3
14TroyHigh Point14
7Kansas
Oklahoma City
Buffalo
Seton Hall7
10OklahomaVirginia Tech10
2NebraskaPurdue2
15North Dakota StateLipscomb15
San Jose
1Arizona
San Diego
16Howard/Grambling
8USC
9Oklahoma State
5Georgia
Tampa
12Murray State
4Illinois
13Liberty
6Saint Louis
Philadelphia
11Nevada/Auburn
3Michigan State
14Quinnipiac
7Utah State
Portland
10California
2Gonzaga
15Tennessee-Martin
Washington DC
1Vanderbilt
St. Louis
16Vermont/American
8LSU
9Miami
5North Carolina
Tampa
12George Mason
4Villanova
13UNC-Wilmington
6Iowa
Greenville
11Tulsa
3Duke
14High Point
7Seton Hall
Buffalo
10Virginia Tech
2Purdue
15Lipscomb


Last teams in:

NumberTeamBracket Rating
1Nevada43.7728
2Boise State55.5998
3George Mason63.142
4Stanford63.1636



Next teams out:

NumberTeamBracket Rating
1Tennessee69.0763
2Florida68.4717
3Indiana62.6866
4UCLA62.1919
5Texas A&M62.0952
6Butler60.2057
7Kansas State60.0799
8North Carolina State59.9647