Computer Models


Ride that Wichita State seeding. Ride it hard. Both the Win and Points Rating agree that Wichita State is the easy favorite going into their matchup with Dayton, and could certainly shock Kentucky in the second round. Here are some quick hits on what the computers think about upsets going into the tournament, as well as some of the closest games. Later this week we’ll have the full AMSTS Computer Brackets! Win Rating says Points Rating Says 16 Seed Most Likely to Win Texas Southern (5% chance) NC Central (-19 points) 15 Seed Most Likely to Win Northern Kentucky (7% […]

The 2017 NCAA Tournament’s First Round Bracket Breakdown, According to ...


Not much shifting at the top end, with UK and UCLA switching spots, and Arizona up 2, while Duke climbs 6 to rejoin the Top 10. The bottom five had even less movement with nobody changing. Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 19 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Gonzaga Villanova Kansas Kentucky (+1) UCLA (-1) UNC Arizona (+2) Oregon Duke (+6) Louisville (-3) Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M NC A&T St. Francis (BKN) Florida A&M Arkansas-Pine Bluff Top gainers since last week: Marshall (+22) Kent State (+21) NC Central (+18) ECU (+14) North […]

Pre-Tournament AMSTS NCAA Basketball Rankings Are Out!


Baylor plummets out of the top 10 with the loss at Texas Tech (and maybe the loss at KU a little bit). While on the bottom, local taco supporter St. Francis of Brooklyn joins the bottom five for the first time this season. Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 16 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Gonzaga Villanova Kansas (+1) Louisville (+1) UCLA (+2) UNC (+3) Kentucky (-1) Duke (+3) Florida (+3) Oregon (+4) Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M NC A&T Mississippi Valley State (-1) St. Francis (BKN) […]

AMSTS NCAA College Basketball Week 16 Rankings Are Out!



No change in the top 2, but the Pac 12 makes some big gains this week with UCLA and Arizona joining the Top 10 at Oregon’s expense. The bottom didn’t see much happen but Coppin State vaulted out of the Bottom 5 to be replaced with Howard. Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 15 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Gonzaga Villanova Baylor (+1) Kansas (+1) Louisville (-2) Kentucky (+1) UCLA (+5) Arizona (+3) UNC (-3) FSU (-2) Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M NC A&T Bethune-Cookman Mississippi Valley State (-1) […]

Week 15 AMSTS NCAA Basketball Computer Rankings Are Out!


Baylor slips two spots, while FSU, Wisconsin, and Oregon join the top 10 this week. At the bottom? Not much change, with Coppin State dropping into the bottom five. Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 14 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Gonzaga Villanova (+1) Louisville (+1) Baylor (-2) Kansas UNC (+2) FSU (+8) Kentucky (-2) Wisconsin (+2) Oregon (+7) Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M NC A&T Bethune-Cookman Coppin State (-2) Missisippi Valley State (+1) Top gainers since last week: UTEP (+38) FAU (+33) Fairfield (+24) Buffalo (+24) […]

Week 14 AMSTS NCAA Basketball Computer Rankings Are Out!


No changes in the top two, but Florida State is up 4 spots while Arizona jumps into the Top 10 for the first time this season, up 9 spots after beating UCLA. Bethune-Cookman inched out of the Bottom 5, dropping MVSU, Alabama State, and FAMU down a spot.  Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 11 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Gonzaga Baylor (+2) Villanova (-1) Louisville (+5) Kansas (+1) Kentucky (-3) Arizona (+9) UNC (+2) UVA (+6) West Virginia (+10) Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M NC A&T Bethune-Cookman […]

Week 13 AMSTS Computer Rankings Are Out!



No changes in the top two, but Florida State is up 4 spots while Arizona jumps into the Top 10 for the first time this season, up 9 spots after beating UCLA. Bethune-Cookman inched out of the Bottom 5, dropping MVSU, Alabama State, and FAMU down a spot.  Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 11 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Gonzaga Villanova Kentucky (+1) Baylor (-1) Florida State (+4) Kansas Arizona (+9) Creighton (-3) Louisville (+1) UNC (+2) Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M NC A&T Missisippi Valley State […]

Week 12 AMSTS Computer Rankings Are Out!


More movement at the top as Baylor’s loss drops them to third and Gonzaga and Villanova climb a spot. On the bottom end, Mississippi Valley State won two games this week, enough to get them out of the bottom spot, giving up the spot to Alabama A&M.   Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 11 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Gonzaga (+1) Villanova (+1) Baylor (-2) Kentucky Creighton (+1) Kansas (+1) UCLA (+1) West Virginia (+5) Florida State (-4) Louisville Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M (-1) NC A&T […]

Week 11 AMSTS Computer Rankings Are Out!


A shakeup at the top as Nova drops two spots on account of their loss against Butler, while Kentucky hops up 4 spots to enter the Top 5. At the bottom, some shuffling but MVSU keeps the worst spot in D1.   Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 10 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Baylor (+1) Gonzaga (+1) Villanova (-2) Kentucky (+4) Florida State (-1) Creighton Kansas (+4) UCLA (+1) Duke (+3) Louisville (-3) Division 1 Bottom 5: Missisippi Valley State Alabama A&M (-1) NC A&T (-3) Coppin State (+1) Alabama State (-3) […]

Week 10 AMSTS Computer Rankings Are Out!



UCLA drops six while FSU jumps 5 in the Top 10 after last week’s games. Arkansas-Pine Bluff drops a spot to enter the Bottom Five.   Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 9 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Villanova Baylor (+1) Gonzaga (+1) Florida State (+5) West Virginia (+3) Creighton Louisville (+2) Kentucky (+3) UCLA (-6) Virginia (+2) Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M Missisippi Valley State Coppin State Florida A&M Arkansas-Pine Bluff (-1) Top gainers since last week: Northern Colorado (+47) Radford (+43) Nebraska (+42) Wofford (+39) St. John’s (+38) Top losers since last week: Sam […]

Week 9 AMSTS NCAA Basketball Computer Rankings Are Out!


Baylor and UCLA continue to flip flop at the top, while Kentucky falls out of the Top 10 after their loss to Louisville. No changes in the bottom five, and Oral Roberts beating Little Rock resulted in a 120 point combined swing in the rankings of the two teams.   Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 7 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Villanova Baylor (+1) UCLA (-1) Gonzaga (+1) Louisville (+2) Creighton (-1) Duke (+1) West Virginia (+2) Florida State (+2) Kansas (-1) Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M Missisippi Valley State […]

Week 8 NCAA Basketball Computer Rankings Are Out!


A lot less movement at the top this week as UCLA hops Baylor, Gonzaga hops Creighton, and Duke falls two spots.  But congratulations are due to Longwood and Dartmouth who both made it out of the bottom five this week with wins.  Everyone else? You can view all 351 teams ranked in our AMSTS Week 7 rankings here. The highlights this week: Division 1 Top 10: Villanova UCLA (+1) Baylor (-1) Gonzaga (+1) Creighton (-1) Kentucky (+1) Louisville (+1) Duke (-2) Kansas West Virginia (+2) Division 1 Bottom 5: Alabama A&M Missisippi Valley State (-2) Coppin State (+1) Florida A&M […]

Week 7 AMSTS NCAA Basketball Computer Rankings Are Out!