Betting against my alma mater, week 12: confirmed for losing

 

Purdue traveled to snowy Iowa City this weekend, and got a huge gift from Vegas.  23.5 points! In what was forecast to be inclement weather! With low temps!

I knew from the start this bet was lost before it was even placed. That’s probably why, for some reason, I forgot to screenshot the actual bet. But here is my bet history which confirms that I did, in fact, lose:

Betting-against-Purdue-Week-12

 

 

But when the game started, Iowa jumped off to a 20-0 lead. “Maybe this line isn’t so bad,” I thought. Then, with the help of STAR QUARTERBACK AUSTIN APPELBY, Purdue made it a one score game. It remained that way deep into the game, before Iowa pulled back away and won by 20.

What that means is that Purdue is officially 4-1 against the spread in their last 5, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7. Given how the team started, this is impressive work. If only your record against the spread slotted you into the college football playoff.

What this also means is that I am officially ensured a loss on the season. While I am still 5-5, the rake coupled with a 7.5% tax on profits (thanks Germany!) means that even if Purdue fails to cover next week, I will only be down 1 or so Euro.

Here are the full results:

Week Opponent Line Final difference Result Cumulative net result
1 Marshall -7.5  Marshall -10 Win (+8.13) +8.13
2 Indiana State Off the board  Purdue -24 N/A +8.13
3 Virginia Tech -6.5  Virginia Tech -17 Win (+8.13) +16.26
4 Bowling Green -4  Bowling Green -7 Win (+8.13) +24.39
5 Michigan State -21  Michigan State -3 Lose (-10) +14.39
6 Minnesota -3.5  Minnesota -28 Win (+8.56) +22.95
7 Wisconsin -23.5  Wisconsin -17 Lose (-10) +12.95
9 Nebraska -7.5  Purdue -10!!! Lose (-10) +2.95
10 Illinois -3  Illinois -34 Win (+7.41) +10.36
11 Northwestern -14.5  Northwestern -7 Lose (-10) +0.36
12 Iowa -23.5  Iowa -20 Lose (-10) -9.64